The frightening scale of damage caused by Cyclone Alfred on the east coast of Australia depends on an 'coincidence' of factors, have warned experts.
With storm winds and heavy rainfall that mistreats in the southeast of Queensland and Noord-NSW, the slow moving system is expected to hit in less than 24 hours.
Around 7 o'clock on Friday it was only 165 km east of Brisbane and 140 km northeast of the Goudkou and travel at a 'walking speed' of approximately 6 km/h.
“It is not unusual for cyclones to delay when they approach the coast,” Tom Mortlock, head of the Asia-Pacific climate analysis at Aon, told Daily Mail Australia.
“It looks like Saturday morning is when it comes,” he said.
Mr Mortlock, an additional fellow at the research center of the University of NSW's Climate Change, said that Cyclone Alfred delayed after it had reached a 'high -pressure system' in the Cora Sea and because of slight wind above the system.
“Tropical cyclones in Queensland are rather moving,” he said.
“Whether or not that coincides with flood, that will really determine the level at which we see an impact.”
If there is an increase in sea level due to the storm, this combination on top of flood can have a huge impact on communities (depicted, people look at gigantic waves in Coolangatta, Qld)
The east coast of Australia is already experiencing extreme weather, with waves crashing against Currumbin Beach Vikings Surf Club, Gold Coast, on Thursday
A flooded raised road after heavy rainfall is seen in shades of tinten in the distant north coast of NSW
Mr Mortlock explained that storm flood – an abnormal rise in sea level during a storm – occurs on top of the normal flow of the tide.
This means that the impact on the coast of Australia depends on the 'coincidence' between Alfred Making Landfall during a period of flood.
“If it strikes at ebb, the effects are included, but it will be more important in tide,” he explained.
The desk has already reported record -breaking waves on the east coast, with some reaching as high as 15 meters.
Mr Mortlock predicts everywhere south of Brisbane, to NSW's Northern Rivers, is a 'zone of care' for serious wind damage.
'[Alfred] Perhaps we will stay around for a while, we expect it to be relegated to a tropical low, but that does not mean that danger has passed, “he said.
“If it lingers, it can worsen floods.”
Anthony Albanese has said that climate change has played an obvious role in the approaching natural disaster.
A fallen branch can be seen on Friday in Ballina on the east coast of Australia
Even if it is downgraded to a tropical low point, Mortlock says that this does not mean that danger has elapsed (depicted, a jet ski with a surfer is seen surfing on record -breaking waves in Coolangatta)
“What we know is that science tells us that there would be more extreme weather conditions, they would occur more often and that they would be more intense,” he told a press conference on Friday morning.
“You can't say that this is only because of climate change. (But) what you can say is that climate change has an impact on our weather patterns, “he said.
Although Mr Mortlock Daily Mail Australia quickly told that there is no evidence that tropical cyclones are shifting to the south in the Australia region, climate change remains a factor in question.
“The clearest signal is a decrease in a number of tropical cyclones that make landing in Australia,” he said.
'Most climate models project that the decrease will take place, but those [storms] That will yield landing will be stronger. '
