Who could replace Biden as Democratic presidential candidate? From Michelle Obama to Gavin Newsom: what are the chances and what do the polls say

As Joe Biden tries to revive his beleaguered re-election campaign over the weekend, senior Democrats are weighing the chances of his potential replacement.

Even Biden’s most ardent supporters are calling for the president to withdraw from the race after his disastrous debate with Donald Trump, in which he stumbled over his words and lost the thread of his thoughts.

Biden has insisted he is still the Democrat’s best bet to beat Trump, but there is still time to replace him as the party’s nominee — and the names of possible replacements are being circulated.

The Democratic National Committee’s official procedures for the convention, adopted in 2022, give the committee the authority to choose a new candidate if any of the ticket’s members die or withdraw.

Joe Biden will discuss his political future with his family after critics called for him to withdraw from the race following his disastrous debate against Donald Trump

The party’s presidential nominee will be formally nominated at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago in August, where delegates must still support him — unless Biden himself announces he is withdrawing from the race.

The Convention would then take on the responsibility of voting on an alternative. There are countless options.

Here are the odds on winning the presidential election — that is, the amount one could win for every $100 wagered on each candidate — according to some of the most popular Biden replacements. Odds Checker.

Gavin Newsom – Odds +1150

The California governor, who is in the midst of his second and final term, has thrust himself into the spotlight of Biden’s campaign, leading many to speculate whether he is eyeing the job.

His odds have risen to +1150, despite polls showing he would lose in a contest against Trump.

Data for Progress Research conducted a poll on the outcome of the presidential debates, asking more than 1,000 people who they would vote for in an election between Trump and leading Democrats.

Newsom, 56, the governor of California and a top Biden surrogate lost 44 percent to 47 percent against Trump in a hypothetical contest

Newsom, 56, lost 44 percent to 47 percent to 78-year-old Donald Trump.

His role as one of the Biden campaign’s key surrogates has made him a target of Republicans who have repeatedly cited California as an example of Democrats’ mismanagement.

Newsom is running a huge budget deficit in the Golden State and major cities like San Francisco and Los Angeles are plagued by crime and homelessness.

Michelle Obama – Chance +1650

The chances of the former first lady replacing Biden have only increased after the debate, with rumors circulating for some time that she is considering her own political career.

Oddschecker gave her a lead of +1650. However, an exclusive DailyMail.com/JL Partners poll of 1,000 likely voters in March found she would lose to the former president by three points in a hypothetical matchup.

The idea of ​​Michelle Obama running for president has occasionally been touted by Democrats concerned about Biden’s advanced age and his ability to win a runoff election.

Michelle Obama’s chances of replacing Biden have increased after the debate and she has reportedly avoided campaigning for Joe Biden.

They think that her ease with voters, her star status and her relatively young age of 60 can ensure that the White House does not fall into the hands of the Republicans.

Her potential candidacy has gained popularity among right-wing pundits, who have cast her potential candidacy as a way to undermine Biden’s run.

After the presidential debate, Republican Senator Ted Cruz said he thinks the former first lady could be the next presidential nominee.

“Nine months ago, I predicted in Verdict that the Dems would replace Biden with Michelle Obama. I think that’s going to happen,” Cruz said on X.

Michelle has stayed away from campaigning for Joe Biden due to her personal frustration with the family’s treatment of her friend Kathleen Buhle during her messy divorce from Hunter Biden, sources said.

Gretchen Whitmer – Odds +3300

The 52-year-old governor of Michigan, a crucial swing state for the 2024 elections, is considered a rising star in the party.

In the post-debate poll by Data for Progress research, Whitmer lost 44 percent to Trump’s 46 percent in a potential matchup. However, her pre-election odds have risen to +3300.

Whitmer is very popular in the swing state, where the vote was extended for Donald Trump by a narrow margin of 0.3 percent and for Biden in 2020 by a margin of 2.8 percent.

Whitmer is very popular in her swing state, but lost 44 percent to 46 percent for Trump in polls after the presidential debate

“That woman in Michigan,” as Trump describes her, is a former prosecutor and mother of two who supports stricter gun laws and the repeal of abortion bans.

In 2020, the FBI famously foiled a plot by a right-wing militia group to kidnap Whitmer after she antagonized conservatives with her hardline response to the Covid pandemic.

A memoir will be released next month that some cynically believe was perfectly timed for a potential presidential candidate.

Kamala Harris – Odds +3300

An obvious choice to replace Biden would be Vice President Harris, 59 years old. She has reportedly been called a ‘work in progress’ by her president.

Harris is the natural successor to the presidency if Biden leaves office during his term. But Democrats have criticized Harris’ performance for years and believe she should not take over from Biden before the election.

According to the Data for Progress poll, Harris loses 45 percent to Trump’s 48 percent, as does her current running mate, while her chances of winning the election are +3300.

Harris is reportedly “furious” that she is not being considered as Biden’s replacement, sources said. Politics.

Harris is said to be ‘furious’ that she is not being considered as Biden’s replacement

A Washington DC political operative described to DailyMail.com the “Kamala conundrum” as a result of Biden and the Democrats playing the “dangerous game” of identity politics to advance their position within the black community.

“She could be great for the base, right?” he said. “But you still need independent voters who just don’t trust her.”

Other possibilities

Additional names being thrown into the ring of potential replacement candidates include rising party members and even former presidential candidates.

Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and New Jersey Sen. Corey Booker both lost 44 percent to Trump’s 47 percent in the Data for Progress matchup.

Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar, Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro and Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker all lost 43 percent to 46 percent in a duel against Trump.

Pritzker, a billionaire venture capitalist and heir to the Hyatt Hotel fortune, has the great advantage of being able to pour a lot of money into a presidential campaign.

His odds, along with Shapiro’s, are +20,000, while Booker’s is +40,000.