A bombshell for Anthony Albanese as Labour’s popularity in a key state falls to its lowest level ever

Support for Anthony Albanese’s Labor government has fallen to a record low in NSW, which could cost him up to four seats at the next election.

A Newspoll analysis published on Sunday showed that Labor’s primary vote in the prime minister’s home state had fallen to just 30 percent, marking an all-time low.

The poll shows the Coalition has gained a slight lead in NSW with 51 per cent support on a two-party basis, compared to Labour’s 49 per cent.

Should Labor lose four seats in NSW alone, the Albanian government would lose its majority and be forced to rely on the Greens or independents to retain power.

In Victoria, traditionally a Labor stronghold, the party’s primary vote share has also fallen to a new low of 31 per cent – ​​below the national average.

While Labor still leads in the state with 52 percent on a two-party basis, the Coalition has closed the gap, trailing at 48 percent.

Support for Anthony Albanese’s Labor government has fallen to an all-time low in NSW, while the Labor Party also took a hit in Victoria

For the first time ever, Peter Dutton has become the favorite prime minister among voters aged 50 to 64

The sharp drop in support for Labor may be linked to the ongoing cost of living crisis.

Furthermore, the rise in votes for a Muslim party in the eastern states suggests that Labour’s position on the Israeli-Hamas conflict in Gaza may have alienated parts of its traditional ethnic voter base.

The decline in Labor primary votes is also closely linked to a decline in personal support for Anthony Albanese.

The Prime Minister recorded a five-point drop in his ratings, resulting in minimal gains for Opposition Leader Peter Dutton.

Labor has also lost popularity in Western Australia, potentially losing two seats.

As a result, the Coalition now has a two-party lead among these voters, with 55 percent supporting the Coalition, compared to 49 percent for Labour. This represents an increase from a previous lead of 51 percent to 49 percent since June.

Dutton is now seen as the favorite prime minister for the first time by voters aged between 50 and 64.

Moreover, for the first time since the last election, the Coalition has taken a lead over Labor in the primaries among voters aged 35 to 49.

Labor won 77 seats at the 2022 election, but gained the seat of Aston in Melbourne at a 2023 by-election, marking the first time since 1920 that a government had won a seat from the opposition in a by-election.

But the loss of four seats in NSW and two in WA would reduce the number of seats in the Labor House of Representatives to 71, based on new electoral boundaries, which would be below the 76-seat threshold required for a majority.

This could see Labor forced to scrap negative gearing on future investment property purchases to appease the Greens, or introduce more ambitious greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets as part of a power-sharing deal with the Teals .

The unprecedented turn against Labor could be attributed to the cost of living crisis, which has largely affected the demographics of the working class.