Chancellor Rachel Reeves has been warned by official predictors that she is on course to break her own 'Firdled' budget rules – free up the way for issuing cutbacks or more tax increases.
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has reduced its British growth output, which means that almost £ 10 billion will be wiped out in 'headroom', was reported yesterday.
In a new blow to the waving growth ambitions of the Chancellor, it is expected that official figures today show that the UK is on the edge of the recession.
The OBR handed over provisional predictions to Mrs Reeves prior to his update on the economy on 26 March.
Sources told Bloomberg News that they would show that the Chancellor would break the 'stability rule' that she introduced in October.
According to the rule, daily government spending must be balanced within three years with tax receipts.
At the time of the budget in October, OBR projections demonstrated that Mrs. Reeves had £ 9.9 billion in so-called 'main space' money that the government can use to spend more or to reduce taxes without breaking the tax rules.
But the growing prior views have deteriorated greatly, while the costs for the government to borrow money in financial markets have risen, giving the Chancellor a small shortage.
![Official figures expected to show Britain is on the brink of a recession TODAY – as OBR watchdog warns Rachel Reeves is on course to break her own ‘fiddled’ Budget rules Official figures expected to show Britain is on the brink of a recession TODAY – as OBR watchdog warns Rachel Reeves is on course to break her own ‘fiddled’ Budget rules](https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2025/02/13/03/95159213-14392053-image-a-11_1739417891542.jpg)
In a new blow to the waving growth ambitions of the Chancellor, it is expected that official figures today show that the UK is aware of the recession today
![Gross Domestic product figures published today by the Office for National Statistics is expected to show the economy by 0.1 percent in the fourth quarter (shown: City of London)](https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2025/02/13/03/95159211-14392053-image-a-12_1739417916260.jpg)
Gross Domestic product figures published today by the Office for National Statistics is expected to show the economy by 0.1 percent in the fourth quarter (shown: City of London)
![](https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2025/02/12/08/94927367-14388213-The_Bank_s_updated_forecasts_suggest_that_inflation_is_easing_mo-a-11_1739348713142.jpg)
That probably means that Mrs. Reeves must lower the expenses or resume taxes to balance the books.
Spokesperson for Tory Business Andrew Griffith said: 'It is particularly incompetent to play your own tax rules, after he has promised not to do it, and then even miss this looser one. Who pays the price? Small companies, all entrepreneurs who are still left in the UK – and everyone's children and grandchildren. '
The OBR said it would not comment on the provisional assessment, but the treasury was set last night to start a leak application.
Yesterday, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research predicted that Mrs. Reeves would not have a tax headroom.
Gross domestic product figures published today by the Office for National Statistics is expected to show the economy by 0.1 percent in the fourth quarter. Two fifteen minutes of shrinkage in a row would mean that the UK was in a recession.
LABOUR came into service last July to concentrate on growth, but the economy stagnated.
Mrs. Reeves's £ 40 billion tax -enhancing budget saw the trust crumbling further. It included a £ 25 billion raid on the national insurance of the employer who warn companies, achieving jobs and investments and increasing prices.
Last week the Bank of England reduced its growth output for this year from 1.5 percent to 0.75 percent – and predicted the inflation of almost 4 percent.
That caused the fear of the so-called 'stagflation'-the disastrous combination of stagnant growth with spiral-shaped prices that came in the 1970s.
![](https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2025/02/13/03/95126355-14392053-image-a-29_1739418292804.jpg)
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In today's speech, Rupert Soames, chairman of the Confederation of British Industry, will call for the decisive action of the government to stimulate growth. He will say that the ni -walk of the Chancellor had affected 'the confidence and confidence of the business community'.
Yesterday Bank of England Tarief-Setter Megan Greene said that economic developments had been 'uncomfortable' in recent months, and the Consultancy Capital Economics lowered are growth meter from 1.3 percent to 0.5 percent.
Shadow Chancellor Mel Stride said that Mrs. Reeves needs to make urgent course corrections before the damage they cause … becomes permanent '.
The Prime Minister's spokesperson said: “The government remains relentlessly focused on growth as the only way to increase sustainable standard of living and to provide investments in our public services.”