A 'Stadskiller' asteroid now has a 2.3 percent chance to hit the earth in about eight years, and has revealed a frightening video what could happen if so.
The released energy can be equivalent to eight Megatons van TNT, able to destroy an area so large from Washington, DC.
An eight megaton explosion would be more than 500 times more powerful than the atomic bomb that fell on Hiroshima, which had a yield of about 15 kilotons (0.015 megatons).
The shocking video was made by Alvaro Gracia Montoya, which specializes in 3D animation under the name Metaballstudios.
It shows a room stone that burns the size of the Statue of Liberty while it falls out of the sky and then lands with amazing force in New York City.
The explosive explosion created by the impact floods quickly and destroys the entire city.
This theoretical asteroid is about the same size as Asteroid YR4, who keep a close eye on astronomers, because they have discovered the small chance of touching the earth directly on December 22, 2032.
When NASA telescopes first saw YR4 in December 2024, astronomers determined that it had around 1.2 percent of the earth. But now the chances have almost doubled, according to a recent NASA update.
A 'city skill' asteroid now has an opportunity
The released energy can be equivalent to eight megatons of TNT, able to destroy an area as great as Washington, DC
This may seem alarming, but astronomer and professor of Planetary Sciences at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Richard P Binzel earlier told Dailymail.com that such small changes are not worried.
'We can expect that the likelihood figures breathe around a bit. This is just how scientific data measurements occur, “he said.
Other experts have emphasized that a chance of an impact of 2.3 percent means that there is also a chance of 97.9 percent that YR4 will completely miss our planet.
When it makes its close approach in 2032, it comes within 66,000 miles of the earth, giving it a lot of muscle space to pass us by.
Nevertheless, this visualization of the damage that YR4 could cause has conquered the internet stormer hands.
Online responses reported by SWNs have recorded: “I guarantee that they are already building bunkers underground” and “that will not happen because Bruce Willis and Ben Affleck are going up there, drilling a hole in the side and handsome.”
But in the unlikely event that hits the earth, its impact may not look exactly like the horrible scenario that takes place in the animated asteroid strike video. In fact, it cannot even reach the surface of the planet.
As an alternative, it could explode in the air in what is known as a 'air burst', as the Tunguska Asteroid did in 1908.
Asteroid 2024 JR4 is about the same size as the asteroid of Tunguska, which caused the greatest impact event in the absorbed history when it shot through the atmosphere of the earth in 1908
The Tunguska -asteroid exploded in the air above Siberia in what is known as an 'air burst', and an explosion equivalent for exploding 50 million tons of TNT that demolished an estimated 80 million trees of more than 830 square miles. Experts say that asteroid 2024 JR4 could cause a similar event
The current 'risk corridor' or the geographical area where the 2024-JR4 will hit the most likely runs from South America over the Atlantic Ocean to Africa Bezuiden de Sahara
That spatial rock was about the same size as YR4 and caused the most explosive impact in the recorded history when it blew up over Siberia.
The power of the explosion was the same as exploding 50 million tons of TNT. It has an estimated 80 million trees of more than 830 square bunch of forest flattened flat and allegedly killed three people.
Experts say it is possible that YR4 could cause a similar event, they need more information about the size, composition and internal structure of the asteroid to understand how its impact can unfold.
As the asteroid comes closer, astronomers must be able to perform more detailed observations that can help them understand exactly how large 2024 JR4 is, where it is made and how it is composed.
In the further contrast with the video, it is also unlikely that YR4 will come ashore in New York City, or somewhere else in the US.
Based on preliminary data, astronomers have calculated its current 'risk corridor' or the geographical area where the asteroid is most likely to touch.
This zone runs from South America over the Atlantic Ocean to Africa, then the Sahara, then over the Arab Sea and India.
Although American cities are excluded from the risk corridor, there are plenty of other densely populated human communities within this area.
Analysis of the course of 2024 JR4 indicates that on December 22, 2032 the asteroid will come within 66,000 miles from the earth. But when an orbital uncertainties are charged, it appears that there is a 1.2 percent chance that the planet will be hit immediately
Moreover, experts say that this potential impact zone can be changed because astronomers collect new observations and make more accurate track calculations.
Asteroid 2024 JR4 was first noticed by a project funded by NASA called the Asteroid Terrestrial-Impact Last Alert System, or Atlas, which uses four on the ground-based telescopes to scan the whole sky several times a night in search of moving objects .
On December 27, 2024, an Atlas telescope in Rio Hurtado, Chile Rock Rock discovered about 27 million miles away.
Shortly after it was discovered, automated asteroid warning systems established that the object will make the earth a close approach in about eight years.
This room rock has rated a three on the Torino Risk Scale, a tool for categorizing potential nature impact events.
A score of three means 2024 JR4 justifies astronomers' attention because it probably has a close meeting with the earth and it has a chance of impact of more than one percent.
It is a scale from zero to 10, with higher numbers that indicate a greater risk of impact.
Most objects near the earth never reach higher than two on the scale.
In the coming eight years, astronomers will keep a close eye on YR4 to check the risk of our planet. The race to learn as much as possible as we can.
