Floods, budgets and a WA elections that bang … These are the factors that influence the political landscape prior to the federal elections.
But as the newspapers of today show, not one thing has changed: the Labor government is in the nose. That said, Albo is less unpopular than he was according to his last personal reviews.
Is there time for the prime minister (and more likely the treasurer) to improve the fortunes of the government? Perhaps, remember that work can probably be the minority government with only 48 percent of the votes with two parties.
Today's opinion poll has Labor who pursues the Coalition 49-51 percent of Peter Dutton … Close enough to achieve an ugly victory and to form a minority government in collaboration with De Groenen.
While ex-tropical Cyclone Alfred was ultimately a bubbling, the after-effects are anything but. Floods and an expensive clearance have led the prime minister to throw away his plans to call the elections before 12 April yesterday. This means that he cannot prevent him from having to distribute a budget that is littered with red ink that spend the growing debts and from the trade.
Albanese's plan was to fly to the west and announce the federal elections on the day after the striking victory of the state of Labor in WA. He hoped that some of their glory would rub him.
It wasn't like that. The announcement of an election on the west coast during a crisis on the east coast would not look good. So Albo and his team are holding to hand out the budget on March 25.
The plan is now to try to maximize any benefit that can come from this.
Anthony Albanese (above) and Jim Chalmers will try to buy voters to re -eline them, with all kinds of handouts and general goodies designed to secure voices, PVO writes
That means that the budget 2025 is spending because the treasurer and PM try to buy voters to rearrange them, with all kinds of handouts and general goodies that are designed to secure voices.
They will of course not frame the budget that way. The slogan to sell the eruption of expenditure includes 'costs of living for regular Australians who are making a hard time'.
The real question is how does the opposition react? Does Dutton try to match the expenses, or offers a contrast and claims that restraint is more important, so that new expenditure sticks inflation at a time when the prospect of further interest rates could come later this year?
When it came to Labor's $ 8.5 billion cash injection in Medicare announced a few weeks ago, the coalition chose the previous approach: match the expenditure to limit the policy differences between the parties.
Coalition strategists were led by the prop sprespect of a Medicare Scare campaign.
The wider way of acting can be different. Dutton likes to characterize himself as a tax conservative, but some within his party are not so sure that the tag fits.
Election 2025 will help clarify whether it is true or not. If Dutton is willing to limit the expenditure promises during the elections, this will be a contrast for voters, but there may be one who sees enough of them opt for the short -term self -interest to take extra government handouts, regardless of the economic consequences.
Those risky consequences certainly include more than an eruption of debts. The RBA has warned that future interest rates are far from guaranteed, especially if the government spending results in a renewed revival of inflation.
Does Peter Dutton (left) try to match the expenses, or offers a contrast and claims that restriction is more important, so that new spending in the Inflation Stokes at a time when the prospect of further interest letings could come later this year?
For his part, Albo will do everything that is needed to secure a second term as PM, who borrow from the Playbook of former Power -Powerbroker Graham Richardson.
The prime minister will not want to suffer from the shame of losses after just one term, something that no prime minister has done since 1931.
I still think that Labor is on the box chair to win, albeit as a minority of the second term. The ability to sandbags important seats in combination with the liberals that have to fight against green voters and work on marginal seats makes the degree of difficulty for Dutton to win a bridge too far.
Albanian hopes to work together against his plan to avoid the budget and to mention the elections earlier than it owes, can now be turned to his advantage.
His path to ensure that spending, publishing, publishing and damn the consequences is if it helps to obtain an election gain.
