Labor is on the box for the next federal government, with a new poll that shows that it is just one seat of winning a majority as the election campaign starts.
The newest YouGOV modeling shows that Labor wins 75 seats in the elections of 3 May, while the coalition would only win 60 seats.
The parties need 76 seats for a majority, but the modeling has shown a reversal of the fortune for work, which was left in a similar survey that was released in February.
The Yougov model revealed that Labor would lose five seats to the opposition, but would win two seats back from the greens and one of the coalition.
In the meantime, the coalition would lose three seats, including voters who belong to spokesperson for the opposition homes Michael Sukar and the party spokesperson for the party Dan Tehan.
All green -blue independent people would regain their voters under the modeling.
Yougov's director of public data Paul Smith said that the result was due to a shift back to the government after the coalition had led in the polls.
“Labor is only one seat when forming the government because of a small but decisive shift of the coalition by working voters in important marginal seats driven by an aversion to coalition policy to stop the work from home and to dismiss 40,000 government workers,” he said.
Labor is in the seat to form the next federal government, with new polls showing that it is only one seat of forming a majority when the election campaign starts
'Due to a swing of 1.3 percent, the turnaround is to the birth that the coalition sees in 10 marginal seats that they would be expected to win in our previous projection.
“As the election approaches, the data point to a very dynamic campaign.”
Voters will go to the polls on 3 May, with Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and opposition leader Peter Dutton who wants to claim the Underdog card.
The poll consisted of interviews with 38,629 people between 27 and 26 March, with the research results modeled in all 150 voters.
The modeling of the modeling could only win 69 seats and no fewer than 80 seats, with 75 the most likely outcome.
The range of the coalition was between 55 and 68 seats.
The government is now on track to get 50.2 percent of the national two -party preferred vote in the elections.
Labor is expected to take the seats of Brisbane and Griffith in Queensland from De Groenen, after the surprise of the minor party 2022.
Voters will go to the polls on 3 May, with Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and opposition leader Peter Dutton looking for the Underdog card
It was also expected that it would take the place of Deakin in Victoria from the liberals, the electorate of Mr Sukar.
The number of Independents could also increase in the next parliament, whereby modeling shows that Challenger Caz Heise wins the NSW -Regional seat of Cowper of National MP Pat Conaghan.
Independent and former Triple J -Guestheer Alex Dyson is also on schedule to win in the Victorian seat of Wannon against the sitting than Tehan.
Labor, however, will lose the seat of Benelong, Gilmore, Werriwa and Robertson in NSW, Aston in Victoria and Lyons in Tasmania.
