Nevada’s top prognosticator makes a bombshell prediction in the critical swing state that could decide the race
Nevada’s top election forecaster, Jon Ralston, predicted Monday that Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris would run in the critical swing state.
Ralston is the CEO and editor of the Nevada Independent and wrote on Monday that he believes the Democratic political machine built by the late Senator Harry Reid will come through.
The Silver State is one of seven battlegrounds that are crucial for both candidates to achieve victory in Tuesday night’s presidential election.
Recent polls show Harris taking a lead in an otherwise deadlocked race. But Ralston thinks the vice president has the state and its six Electoral College votes stitched together.
It’s a prediction that sent ripples in the final hours of what could be one of the closest elections in history.
More than 78 million Americans have already voted and millions more will go to the polls on Tuesday to cast their ballots in a race seen as a coin toss.
Ralston said Democrats know which voters — even those automatically registered as “nonpartisan” in the state — are “closet Democrats” and will get them to the polls in Nevada.
Nevada Independent editor Jon Ralston wrote Monday that he believed Vice President Kamala Harris would score a victory in the Silver State
“It will be just enough to overcome the Republican lead — along with women motivated by abortion and crossover voting that this issue will also create,” he said.
“I just feel like she’ll catch up, but I also think — and please remember this — that it won’t be clear who won here on election night, so block out the nasty nabobs of election denial,” Ralston continued.
‘It will be very, very close. Prediction: Harris, 48.5 percent; Trump 48.2 percent; others and None of these candidates, 3.3 percent,” he wrote.
During a campaign call Monday, Harris’ campaign manager Jen O’Malley Dillon predicted a nail-biter in the swing state — one of seven neck-and-neck races key to victory for both Harris and Trump — and also set expectations that a winner may not be known on election day.
The campaign also predicted that Nevada could be one of the slowest states to collect returns, as voters can still mail in their ballots until 7 p.m. local time on Election Day.
On Friday, the last day of early voting in Nevada, DailyMail.com found only voters casting ballots for former President Donald Trump at an early voting site near Las Vegas’ Harry Reid International Airport.
These trends are consistent with what Ralston said: that early, in-person voting in Nevada skews Republicans, while Democrats continue to feel more comfortable mailing in their ballots.
Tens of thousands of mail-in ballots are expected to arrive on or after Election Day.
That DailyMail.com spoke to those who voted for a crooked man early and said they were betting that Trump would improve the economy and better regulate illegal immigration.
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Vice President Kamala Harris (right) campaigned in Las Vegas, Nevada on Thursday with Jennifer Lopez (left)
Former President Donald Trump dances on stage during a campaign rally Monday in Reading, Pennsylvania. Nevada is considered one of seven battleground states in this year’s presidential election
“I voted for Trump,” said Oscar Carboni, 60, of Las Vegas, who works in trading markets. “Well, you know, I guess, the way presidents go, they come and go, and things don’t really matter that much, except for someone who I think needs to slow down the number of people coming across the border.”
“Barring the issues not being that big of a deal, I would have voted for either party,” Carboni added.
Larry Braden, 56, of Las Vegas, says he has moved from Southern California since the 2020 election and was excited to vote for Trump in the swing state.
“Obviously he understands business and national security and economics, like inflationary conditions and how to combat them and make deals and make things work and make things happen,” Braden, a finance executive, told DailyMail. com.
Both candidates have rallied in Nevada in the latter part of the campaign, with both trying to shore up the country’s large Hispanic population.
When America wakes up tomorrow morning, the wait for the results begins.
JD Vance told DailyMail.com on Trump Force Two that he believes a winner can be declared on Tuesday evening.
“My strong assessment is that we are in a good place, that we are going to win,” he told DailyMail.com aboard his plane as he flew between campaign stops.
“I guess we’ll know on Tuesday night. Maybe I’m wrong about that, but you don’t really know until you know.’
With the race between Trump and Harris still razor-thin, pollsters have indicated it could be days – or even weeks – before a final outcome emerges.
If any of the seven battlegrounds are close, ballot counting could continue well into Nov. 6 and beyond. In 2020, the race was officially declared for Joe Biden four days later.
And while Trump is only 0.1 percent ahead of Harris nationally according to polling averages, he has carved out a strong 12-point lead in the betting markets, giving him momentum on Election Day.
Vance is in a four-state wave as he tries to close out the 2024 race by convincing voters to leave on Election Day.