Newspoll result: Why the next federal election could spell disaster for Australia – whether you vote for Anthony Albanese or Peter Dutton
A new poll shows that the next federal election is likely to result in a deadlocked parliament.
The last Newspoll conducted for The Australian The Labor vote has fallen to 32 percent as pressure mounts on Prime Minister Anthony Albanese to tackle the cost of living crisis.
In contrast, the percentage of votes for the coalition in the primaries has risen to a new record since the last election: 39 percent.
But based on the preference of two parties, the two largest parties are now tied at 50-50. It is the first time in two years that the parties are neck and neck.
About 57 percent of the 1,266 voters surveyed believe neither party would have enough votes to win outright if the election were held today.
The predicted results could spell disaster for whoever governs. A parliament without a majority would tip the balance of power into the hands of the obstructionists and make it extremely difficult to pass legislation.
Labor was the last party to form a minority government in 2010, led by former Prime Minister Julia Gillard.
Ms Gillard secured the votes of two independent members of the House of Representatives, thus securing the required 76 seats to govern.
A majority of voters believe a stalemate in Parliament will be the most likely outcome at the next federal election (pictured: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and his fiancée Jodie Haydon)
The latest poll showed mixed results for both major parties.
Only 22 percent of voters believe Labor can form a majority government on its own, while just 21 percent believe a Dutton-led coalition would do the same.
Voter satisfaction with Mr Albanese fell one point to 43 per cent, while approval for Peter Dutton also fell one point to 40 per cent.
The prime minister has a slightly higher disapproval rating of 51 compared to 50, compared to his opposition colleague.
However, Mr Albanese remains the favourite prime minister, with a 46 per cent to 30 per cent lead over Mr Dutton.
With support for Labor lower than at the last election, speculation is mounting about when Australians will go to the polls.
Daily Mail Australia previously reported that Albania may call an early election in the hope of securing a second term before the economy deteriorates.
Opposition Party member Peter Dutton (pictured) has a slightly lower disapproval rating, according to the latest Newspoll poll
The results come at a crucial time for Mr Albanese, who is trying to revive support from disaffected voters struggling with the cost of living.
Mr Albanese announced this week that his government will implement a 15 percent pay increase for childcare workers over the next two years.
The government is allocating $3.6 billion to provide a 10 percent pay increase to childcare and after-school care workers from December.
From December 2025, this figure will increase by another five percent.
The government also sensationally backtracked on its promise to cut taxes in phase three earlier this year, introducing a tax cut for low- and middle-income earners.
Australian households were also set to save $300 on their electricity bills as part of the federal budget, but red tape has delayed the rollout.
The surprise results could spell disaster for both major political parties, as a hung parliament would tip the balance of power in the hands of smaller parties. Pictured is Anthony Albanese with his fiancée Jodie Haydon
The measure was approved by Parliament and came into effect on July 1, at the start of the 2024-2025 budget year.
Despite the cash injection, the RBA, which operates independently of the government, kept interest rates at 4.35 percent on Tuesday, saying inflation was likely to persist.
Elsewhere in the latest Newspoll, the Greens’ primary vote fell by one point to 12 percent, while the other minor parties and independents saw their vote rise by one point to 11 percent.
The primary result for the One Nation Party led by Senator Pauline Hanson remained stable at 6 percent.
