NFL Week 12 Predictions: Our Picks Against the Spread

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions, 12:30 p.m., Fox

Line: Bears -3.5 | Total: 41.5

Football can wait. The Bears (3-7) and Lions (0-9-1) are bad, and the game is only important for positioning the draft and as a backdrop for the final touches to the Thanksgiving meal before the guests arrive. Chicago’s rookie quarterback Justin Fields injured his knee last week meaning veteran Andy Dalton will start, and Detroit’s Jared Goff is unsure but seems likely to play with an oblique injury.

But they will not be the deciding factor in this. The Lions’ only offensive threat is D’Andre Swift, who has rushed more than 100 yards in the past two games. Bears head coach Matt Nagy, the subject of firing rumours, may want to end his tenure by leaving Detroit winless. Choose: Bears -3.5

Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys, 4.30 pm, CBS

Line: Cowboys -7 | Total: 51

The Raiders (5-5), who started the season 3-0, have now lost five of their last seven games and are in danger of missing the playoffs. In each defeat, the team failed to pass more than 300 yards. The Cowboys (7-3) are holistically better. Even if they play without Amari Cooper, who remains on the Covid-19 list, and CeeDee Lamb, who is on concussion protocol, the Dallas attack could exploit the Raiders’ defenses, which have looked suspicious in recent weeks. Choose: Cowboys -7

Buffalo Bills at New Orleans Saints, 8:20 p.m., NBC

Rule: Bills -4 | Total: 46.5

The Saints (5-5) desperately need Alvin Kamara (knee) to confidently start the playoffs. A win here raises their chances to 59 percent, a loss lowers them to 35 percent, according to the Playoff Predictor. With his status in limbo for a third game in a row, you’ll need to bet the bills (6-4) to cover along the way. Buffalo has lost to inferior opponents in two of the last three weeks, with quarterback Josh Allen taking four sacks against Jacksonville, and Indianapolis putting in 264 stormy yards against the usually solid defense of the Bills.

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