Where’s the snow? The east coast is facing another wet weekend.

A Gulf of Mexico storm system, which is not expected to develop until Friday at the earliest, is forecast to track along or near the East Coast, spreading precipitation and gusty winds this weekend and next week.

It was not immediately clear how much rain will fall, and where. But one thing’s for sure: like last weekend, this will be a fairly warm system overall, with most of the rain falling as far north as New England and eastern Canada, although in some places along the western edge of the storm will be cold enough for precipitation to fall as snow.

Here’s what we know and don’t know about the storm system.

The forecast is uncertain.

Most computer weather models that meteorologists rely on to predict the weather agree that the storm will take shape in the Gulf of Mexico and move across the eastern United States into Canada, but the models do not all show the same exact path from see the storm.

The location of the center of the storm system and the timing of its progress will determine which areas will receive the most rain, wind and potential severe weather, the National Weather Service office in the Tampa Bay, Florida, region wrote in its report. Thursday morning forecast.

New York forecasters know the storm is coming, but the further away from when a storm starts, the harder it is to predict the precise path it will take. The varying weather models for the storm show a wide range of possibilities, from along the East Coast to the spine of the Appalachians. The latest trend in computer forecast models shows the storm moving further inland, spreading rainfall further west into the eastern United States on Sunday.

Even with this trend, excessive rainfall is more likely along the coast. Even a low risk of extreme rainfall could lead to flooding in Florida on Saturday and the Mid-Atlantic region on Sunday.

Here’s what we know about the storm’s timing.

• Friday evening and night: A winter storm system is developing over the Gulf of Mexico.

• Saturday to Sunday: Rain begins to spread across Florida. From Saturday night through Sunday, the storm will move inland and begin its trajectory in a northeasterly direction. The southeast and mid-Atlantic are likely to be soaked with rain on Sunday.

• Sunday evening to Monday: The storm brings heavy rainfall to the northeast. The storm will move into Canada on Monday evening.

• Tuesday: Colder air will begin to wrap around the storm system as it moves further into eastern Canada, increasing the chance of snow, especially in the Appalachians, the Great Lakes region and Ontario. Persistent coastal showers may last throughout the day.

Winter has only just begun.

This heat and rain are not good for snow lovers. Although it is still early in the season.

Meteorological winter, based on the temperature cycle, is only two weeks away, and astronomical winter, based on Earth’s position relative to the sun, is only a week away.

This is also an El Niño winter. In 2015, during another El Niño, it was incredibly warm for the entire month of December. On Christmas Eve that year, temperatures in Albany, NY, and Burlington, Virginia, reached 72 degrees and 68 degrees, respectively – the highest ever recorded in either city during meteorological winter.

However, in late January 2016, a severe winter storm dumped up to 48 inches of snow in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, disrupting the lives of more than 100 million people with widespread power outages, coastal flooding and snowstorms. New York City’s Central Park received 30 inches of snow, making it the biggest snowstorm there since officials began recording it in 1869.

The lesson: Yes, this coming storm will be a rainstorm, but Northeast residents shouldn’t write off winter just yet.