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Donald Trump’s ally Charlie Kirk says he has found the key to beating Joe Biden in November’s election

Conventional wisdom has long maintained that high turnout helps Democratic presidential candidates win elections White House.

Not anymore, says leading Trump ally Charlie Kirk, who heads Turning Point USA, and is in charge of finding low-propensity voters he believes will return the former president to power.

A series of polls show Trump making gains among young, black and Hispanic voters, groups that have historically turned out in lower numbers than other demographics.

So then thousands conservatives gathered in Detroit, Michiganfor the people of Turning Point Action Congressthe exhibitor hall was filled with booths dedicated to voter registration and grassroots efforts to turn “maybe” into “definitely.”

Workshops with titles like “The First Seven Seconds – How to Conduct First Contact” and “Lead Your District, Lead Your Country” were packed.

Charlie Kirk, head of Turning Point Action, with Lara Trump, co-chair of the Republican National Committee, on stage in Detroit, Michigan

Charlie Kirk, head of Turning Point Action, with Lara Trump, co-chair of the Republican National Committee, on stage in Detroit, Michigan

The big draw on Saturday evening will be Trump himself.

But the theme of the three-day meeting is finding the votes that will return Trump to power, Kirk said. And that means “low propensity voters.”

“It’s tempting and easy to say he’s going to fight for me… he will, but first you have to fight for him. You need to start registering new voters,” he told several thousand supporters in a loud, fireworks-filled opening speech that shook the conference hall.

“You have to find low-propensity voters in your life and get them registered to vote.

“According to new polls, the people least likely to vote are the most pro-Trump in this election.

‘That means that we are not doing a good job of increasing turnout, that we are not doing a good job of managing our neighborhoods, that we are not doing a good job of registering new voters. I say that perhaps in November we will hear those bitter words… that Joe Biden is re-elected for another term as President of the United States.”

a CNN analysis three NBC polls showed Biden up four points among people who voted in 2020 and the 2022 elections midterm exams.

But Trump led by 12 points among people who voted in 2020 but not in 2022.

Trump’s lead extends to as much as 20 points among those who did not vote in either election, and nearly two-thirds of those people said they have a negative view of Biden’s performance as president.

Robert Broderick and Rachel dance before the start of the conservative Turning Point Action's the People's Convention at Huntington Place, Detroit, Michigan

Robert Broderick and Rachel dance before the start of the conservative Turning Point Action’s the People’s Convention at Huntington Place, Detroit, Michigan

Donald Trump will address the convention on Saturday.  He's seen here earlier this month at a Turning Point USA event in Phoenix, Arizona

Donald Trump will address the convention on Saturday. He’s seen here earlier this month at a Turning Point USA event in Phoenix, Arizona

It created a strange dynamic at a meeting often known as much for the rowdy antics of the young attendees and the fiery rhetoric of the speakers as for its political strategy.

So while fans crowded around a gold Mercedes for photos, and potential Vice President Vivek Ramaswami raced onto the stage with cries of “USA, USA, USA,” the buzz phrase of the weekend was the decidedly academic phrase “voters with a low tendency’.

“They may not be registered to vote or they may be registered to vote, but they’re a little harder to mobilize. They are what we call low propensity voters,” said Lara Trump, co-chair of the Republican National Committee, as she described the launch of Trump Force 47 as a community effort to increase turnout.

Grant Raphael is at the sharp end of the battle, as regional organizer of BLEXIT, a group that encourages black people to leave the Democratic Party.

He manned the group’s booth, filled with “Empower, Awaken” T-shirts and “Blessed Not Oppressed” banners, in the exhibitor hall on Friday evening.

Minorities, he said, were tired of being told they were victims and embraced Trump’s message that they could be “overcomers” if they embraced his message to work hard and provide for their families.

Gideon Raphael, BLEXIT regional manager for the South East, said many people did not even realize how easy it was to register and participate in elections

Gideon Raphael, BLEXIT regional manager for the South East, said many people did not even realize how easy it was to register and participate in elections

Kirk: 'You have to find low propensity voters in your life and get them registered to vote'

Kirk: ‘You have to find low propensity voters in your life and get them registered to vote’

“People have this mentality that Democrats are all for the minority community,” he said. “But if you look at the policies and how African Americans and other minorities are doing… things haven’t gotten better in the last four years.

“So people are starting to wake up and see that Donald Trump, even though he’s a white man, conservative, is actually more for them than, say, Joe Biden.”

He said his mission was to explain how easy it was to register to vote, with just a few clicks on an app, in an effort to convert “low propensity voters” into real ones in November Trump voters.

In such a tight race, turnout could give Biden or Trump victory, said James Johnson, co-founder of polling firm JL Partners.

“Overall, Trump has the bigger challenge – and the opportunity for a bigger prize – on his hands, as his voters are generally less inclined,” he said.

“But on the contrary, if Trump keeps his 2020 vote and Biden backs down by failing to turn out any African American voters, then he is in serious trouble.

“In that scenario, and what the polls currently confirm, Trump could win by simply standing still.”

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