Super Bowl 2025 Odds: 49ers Early Favorites; Chiefs, Ravens and Bills among top teams

The Chiefs defeated the 49ers in overtime to win Super Bowl LVIII.

Is it too early to start looking ahead to Super Bowl LVIX in New Orleans? Never. The San Francisco 49ers are Super Bowl favorites at +500 on BetMGMdespite losing to the Kansas City Chiefs (+700 to repeat) in Super Bowl 58. The Baltimore Ravens (+850), Buffalo Bills (+1200) and Detroit Lions (+1200) have the next best odds.

Of course, the Chiefs are still one of the favorites to win the AFC. It is believed that general manager Brett Veach will do everything he can to find help for Patrick Mahomes after the offense's struggles for most of the regular season.

Along with the Chiefs, the Ravens, Bills and Bengals are the AFC favorites. The Jets now have worse odds (+3000) than they did at this time last season (+2500), and that was even before they acquired Aaron Rodgers from Green Bay, although rumors were already swirling that Rodgers wanted to leave Wisconsin for the USA wanted to go. the big apple.

Of the teams with new head coaches, the Los Angeles Chargers (+2500) have the best chances with new coach Jim Harbaugh. Los Angeles is over $45 million the salary cap for next season, according to OverTheCap.com.

If you're looking for teams that could make a splash in free agency, the Commanders, Titans, Patriots, Bengals and Colts currently have the most salary cap space.

Detroit (+1200) has completed its 180th turn from lovable losers to now a favorite in the NFC. Dallas and Philadelphia are still at the top of their respective conferences, but there will be changes for both teams this season. Dallas lost defensive coordinator Dan Quinn to Washington and Philadelphia hired Kellen Moore as its new offensive coordinator and Vic Fangio to lead the defense.

The Carolina Panthers, Tennessee Titans and New England Patriots all have the worst odds to win the Super Bowl. All three teams will have new coaches next year.

However, betting favorites this far is probably not a good betting strategy. Consider that the Chiefs had worse odds entering the playoffs this year (+1000) than after last year's Super Bowl win (+600).

To help understand where these teams are headed this offseason, especially around expectations, we reached out to our beat writers to gauge how they view the teams heading into the offseason.

Detroit Lions +1200

The Lions have the fifth-best Super Bowl odds in 2024, and that feels about right. In their first postseason run together, with the fifth-youngest roster in the NFL, the Lions reached the NFC Championship game and held a 24–7 lead. Had they made the necessary moves to win the game, they would have been in Las Vegas hoping to hoist the Lombardi. Instead, they will use a disappointing loss as motivation and work to get there next season. Detroit's best talent – ​​Penei Sewell, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Aidan Hutchinson, Sam LaPorta, Jahmyr Gibbs, etc. – should only get better with age. QB Jared Goff has now taken two teams to NFC Championship games and has had another strong season. Offensive coordinator Ben Johnson is back for another year and once again turns down head coaching opportunities. And the Lions will look to improve a secondary that needs an influx of talent. Detroit's schedule and division look tougher on paper, but given everything the Lions have done for them, they are well-positioned for another deep postseason run. —Colton Pouncy, Lions writer

New York jets +3000

The Jets, like every team on this list, have the ability to swing wildly in either direction. That's the Aaron Rodgers factor. The Jets have a lot of holes to fill on offense (offensive line, wide receiver) and issues to overcome (offensive coordinator), but ultimately how far the Jets go (or not) largely depends on which version of Rodgers they get. He'll be 41 this season and coming off Achilles tendon surgery, so it's fair to be skeptical the Jets will make noise — but they still have one of the best NFL defenses, which will remain largely intact, and return two stars in the offense in Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. —Zack Rosenblatt, Jets writer

Green Bay Packers +2500

I'm surprised the odds are so long for the Packers considering how they finished the 2023 season. After starting 3-6, they made the playoffs, dismantled the Cowboys in the wild-card round and gave the 49ers a battle in the Divisional Round. In his first season as the full-time starting quarterback, Jordan Love showed why he can be the man for Green Bay, and most of its supporting cast, for the next decade on an offense that thrived in the second half of the season. , will return in 2024. The big questions are in the other two phases. Can the Packers straighten out their kicking game (pun intended), and can new defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley maximize the talent on his side of the ball in a way that Joe Barry couldn't? If Green Bay can do both, there's no reason why the Packers can't compete to take home the Lombardi Trophy. —Matt Schneidman, Packers writer

For the Dolphins to be considered serious Super Bowl contenders, they need to beat teams of the same level or better on a semi-consistent basis. That didn't happen in 2023, with just one win against a team that finished with a winning record: Dallas Cowboys in Week 16. The 2024 schedule will also be tougher, playing the AFC South, NFC West and the Packers outside Miami. AFC East opponents.

As of now, Tua Tagovailoa will be entering the final year of his rookie contract in 2024. Will Miami take care of its quarterback before Week 1? Plus, you have to wonder if the defense can come together after numerous injuries, especially at edge rusher, that took their toll in late 2023. Then you have to wonder if the Dolphins are the best or even second-best team in the AFC East, with the Bills as the reigning champions and Aaron Rodgers set to take more than a handful of snaps at QB, just like the injury-plagued season last year. —Larry Holder, NFL senior writer

You know the Texans will be one of the sexiest bets heading into the 2024 season – two of the best young players at premium positions in quarterback CJ Stroud and edge rusher Will Anderson. Add in budding star coach DeMeco Ryans and an improving roster, and Houston has what it takes to take the next step.

Now the Texans won't have to deal with a bottom-barrel schedule this season after winning the AFC South. So they're making the Chiefs, Ravens and Bills, along with the AFC East and NFC North, join their AFC South roster – throwing a healthy NFL Draft compadre, Anthony Richardson, back for the Colts. But the Texans seemed to hold their own against everyone during the 2023 regular season before falling flat against the Ravens in the AFC divisional round. I expect the Texans to improve in 2024 and Stroud to only get better after one of the strongest rookie QB campaigns in recent memory. When that happens, you never know… —Holder

(Top photo: Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)